John Davidson
John Davidson
continued economy fact greenspan growth market maybe move people raise signs until volatility
I think we have continued volatility until we really see signs of growth in the economy slowing. When we see the economy slowing, I think that people will be more comfortable with the fact that maybe Greenspan is not going to have to continue to raise rates, then I think the market can move ahead.
earnings grind historic job largely looking people taking until
Largely people are taking a look at historic information. They're looking at earnings and job cuts, and people are concerned. I think we're going to grind it out until earnings come back.
betting certain early higher investors likely march month months next prior rates release rise seems throwing towel until
Even just a month ago, prior to the release of the March payrolls number, there were some investors betting that rates wouldn't rise until early next year. Now, after two months of higher payrolls, it seems likely rates are set to rise, and so there's a certain throwing in of the towel for some investors.
basis economic flip focusing half last news obviously people percentage points ready until week
Obviously people are focusing on the FOMC announcement, ... Up until last week I was ready to flip over to 50 basis points (a half percentage point) but we've had some economic news that's been pretty good.
bound election hesitation until
I think there's also bound to be a lot of hesitation until the election is over,
buying higher until wait
If you wait until the volatility's gone, you're going to be buying at higher prices,
earnings expecting growth market markets news reacting
There's a lot of earnings and other news out there today, but I think the market is particularly reacting to Greenspan's testimony, ... The markets are expecting a little more growth because of his comments, but that may not be as much as what they wanted to hear.
committing grow investing investment lead market next people rent retirement saving technology waiting
If you're out of the market you need to be in the market if you're saving for your long-term retirement or for other elements, ... People have been waiting on the sidelines, not committing as much new money. I don't think you should be investing next week's rent check, but your long-term investment is going to really grow in the market, and technology will lead that.
fourth positive quarter
I think the fourth quarter will be positive on earnings.
claims key level
I think that's a psychological level more than anything else, but what's key is that the jobless claims are climbing.
given people tried
He's always given of his time. He's always tried to do the right thing. Going to Italy, I think this thing may become a big story over there if people want to make it a big story. Otherwise, it shouldn't.
companies earnings good maybe negative percent positive range stock straight strong summer tone trading
I think we're in a good earnings season. So far, of the S&P 500, 139 companies have reported. Over 60 percent have been upward surprises, only 8 percent of them have really been negative surprises. So we're in a strong earnings season. That's good for the stock market, ... I think the market's in a trading range right now. I don't think it's going straight up from here. I don't think necessarily we're going to get a big summer rally, but maybe a positive tone to the market.
environment materials natural people seem toward
In this environment, people seem to have gravitated toward natural resources, utilities and materials and away from technology.
belief bouncing claims few fully market morning next number pick rally reflected seeing seen start weekly
The market has now fully reflected its belief in a second-half pick up, but for the kind of rally we've seen to continue, you're going to need to start seeing evidence. The weekly jobless claims number this morning is a start, but it's not enough. We could be bouncing around in the next few weeks.