Ned Riley
Ned Riley
ahead basically buy carry case either interest people prepared sell
I think it's basically a case of no interest on either the buy or the sell side. People have already emotionally prepared for the long weekend, and they don't want to carry much ahead of it.
buying instead rally selling toward
The inclination is toward selling the rally instead of buying on the dips.
ceiling good imposing news next related selling sorts
That's imposing a ceiling of sorts on any rally. But the good news is that at the end of next week, tax-loss related selling may abate dramatically.
declaring drawn enthusiasm last longer markets people premature pressure realizing rushed selling shorts victory war week
The markets got a little premature declaring victory last week and the shorts rushed in to cover. Now enthusiasm has dissipated and the selling pressure is on. People are realizing that the war is going to be longer and more drawn out than anticipated.
actual commentary cycle earnings exhaustion focus looking people point regards results road selling tech trying upside worst
The worst point of the tech cycle is probably upon us now, but the actual results and the commentary on earnings are no surprise. There's a selling exhaustion in regards to tech stocks. People are trying to focus on the road ahead. Looking forward; there is a lot of upside potential.
anxiety clearly continues conviction covering downside enthusiasm level reached restrained selective selling short stocks worst
It's a conviction on the part of some that a lot of the stocks have reached such a downside level that they are discounting the worst of all scenarios. The enthusiasm is clearly restrained because the selling and anxiety continues so we've got a little short covering and selective buying.
companies earnings few group groups growing growth hot people percent rate relative selling somewhere strange terms
These companies are actually growing, ... The whole group is growing somewhere between 10 and 13 percent relative earnings growth and the price-earnings ratios are about 13 to 14 times. It's one of the few groups out there that are actually selling at their growth rate in terms of price-earnings ratio. And, right now, it's strange -- people don't like the group. It isn't a hot group.
care cheap cyclical earnings group growth health rates sell stocks
This is an opportunity, ... You can find some health care stocks with price- earnings ratios, ironically, more cheap than they are in the cyclical area. The health care group of stocks that I like sell about 28 times earnings and have growth rates of 14 percent.
confidence fears judgment lack throes
There wasn't enough in my judgment to alleviate the fears that we are in the throes of a lack of confidence in the market.
depressed environment gave ibm looking notion people political remained saw sector stability tech using
There was a combination of things that really depressed it. One was Hewlett-Packard's shortfall and we had a sympathetic sell-off using the political environment as a backdrop. Ironically, IBM remained the stalwart and it probably gave the notion of stability to the tech sector and we saw some people looking for bargains.
earnings growth means rate risk
Any (profit) short-fall in that growth rate at 110 times earnings means there's some risk in these stocks.
shortened stock turned york
I like this rally, and even if this is a shortened day, we turned 'Black Friday' into 'Green Friday' on the New York Stock Exchange.
dispel either enforce focus forward inflation news notion stay
Clearly, the focus going forward is going to stay on the macro news to either enforce or dispel the notion that inflation is rising.
downward extremely looking market reaction though
The market's reaction has been pretty benign. But I think the market is looking at this as more constructive than destructive. I think the market has absorbed this extremely well even though there is a downward bias.