Oscar Gonzalez
Oscar Gonzalez
continue economic economy expect fact improve jobs rest suggest
Jobs are a lagging indicator, and other economic indicators suggest the economy is in fact on the mend. We still expect it will continue to improve through the rest of the year.
continue door easing economy expect fed open pressures since
Since the economy is softening, I expect inflationary pressures to subside. The door is still open for the Fed to continue easing rates, as necessary.
along begin business consumers continue economy falter few fuel gear higher later next shift spending sustain worry
Consumers will continue to spend, and that will keep the economy chugging along for the next few months. But without some help, I worry that consumers could begin to falter later in the year. We need more business spending to fuel the economy's shift into a higher gear and sustain the recovery.
albeit continued drowning economy january kept leading
Consumers, who have kept the economy from drowning during this recession, continued to spend, albeit cautiously, in January and may be leading the way to recovery.
again avoiding continue economy economy-and-economics fed grow improving less likely move reports retail sales seem strong suggest
Strong but moderating retail sales and improving productivity suggest an economy that should continue to grow while avoiding overheating, ... The reports would seem to make it less likely that the Fed will need to move again this year.
additional benefit businesses cause corporate costs critical cutting delay further lean rising sluggish
Rising benefit costs are cutting into already lean corporate profits. This may cause businesses to further delay additional hiring, which is critical to boosting the sluggish economy.
crude energy front mean nobody prices record relief sees time trade
Record crude prices usually mean record trade gaps. Nobody sees relief on the energy front any time soon.
interest move percent somewhere
I would think the probability of a move (on interest rates) would be somewhere around the 40 percent range.
against confidence consumer decrease downside improvement improving including increase jobs protection slump solid spending suggest sustained
While improving consumer confidence probably suggests downside protection against a slump in spending, it does not suggest we will see spending take off. We still need a sustained improvement in the jobs market, including a significant decrease in unemployment with a solid increase in real wages.
ancient certainly economy emerging federal figures inflation last might reflect reserve rising simply six suggest terms worrying
Today's figures simply reflect an economy still emerging from a recession; there's certainly nothing here to suggest inflation rising from the ashes. In terms of impact, it might as well be ancient history, especially now. The Federal Reserve is back to worrying about where inflation will be in six months, not where it was last month.
growth looking percent rate somewhere
We are looking at a growth rate somewhere in between 6.5 percent and 7 percent at this point. I think it's really going to be up there.
finally good labor markets news occasional positive surprise
We're finally getting consistently good news on the labor markets and even an occasional positive surprise like today's report.
allow alone begin businesses earnings reach until
Until businesses feel a real need for more hands-until productivity alone won't allow them to reach their earnings goals-they won't begin hiring.
brink confidence consumer great possibly surprise
We are possibly on the brink of war, so it would have been a great surprise if consumer confidence hadn't fallen.