Patrick Fearon
Patrick Fearon
claims continuing drifting drop rate sign start
The drop in continuing claims could be a sign that the unemployment rate could start drifting downward.
april claims coming confidence consumer employment figures good job kinds point report solid
All kinds of indicators point to a very good report on April employment ... with jobless claims figures coming in where they are and the consumer confidence indicators ... all point to solid job creation.
evolving impact labor mean numbers people relatively situations terms understanding until
It could mean that those people don't show up in the jobless numbers until relatively late, so it's an evolving situations in terms of understanding the impact on the labor market.
cautious energy people possibly prices rebound recent reflects
It could be this reflects the recent rebound in energy prices that possibly made people a little more cautious again.
consumer course
It's an encouraging sign, but of course we have a long way to go before you would say that the consumer is very optimistic.
below came decent expanding high level sector slightly suggest
The ISM manufacturing index came in at a decent level in January, just slightly below expectations, but still high enough to suggest that the manufacturing sector is expanding at a steady-as-she-goes pace.
continues economy grow large majority sector service shows side
The ISM index shows that the service side of the economy continues to grow well and that's important because that sector makes up the large majority of the economy.
bond calming core far gotten inflation influence price
The core PCE price index is a calming influence on the bond market. Inflation so far has far not gotten out of hand.
bond calming core far gotten inflation influence price
The core PCE price index is a calming influence on the bond market, ... Inflation so far has far not gotten out of hand.
coming consistent decline expected figure housing percent permits sector seems starts thesis weaker
The housing starts figure coming in down 5.6 percent was weaker than expected and seems consistent with our thesis that the housing sector is moderating. The big decline in housing permits reinforces that idea.
coming consistent continue home housing likely market moderate sales view
This is consistent with our view that the housing market is likely to continue to moderate in the coming months. But ... home sales are historically pretty strong.
clear continues economy holding interested remains workers
It remains pretty clear that corporations are interested in holding on to their workers as the economy continues to expand.