Peter Greene
Peter Greene
Peter Greeneis an American character actor, generally known for playing villains. Peter lives in New York...
ProfessionMovie Actor
Date of Birth8 October 1965
CityMontclair, NJ
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The stock looks very attractive, and they have a potential cancer drug and a potential Alzheimer's drug,
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The key is what happens tomorrow. How will people interpret what the Fed says? How will the dollar do? The dollar has been hanging in by default, but if it really starts to roll over, that would hurt stock prices.
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Interest rate fears are fully discounted now, which is why bonds are up today. That's why stocks are bouncing, why the utilities are rallying, regional bank groups are rallying. But I don't think the market is going to have much more lift here.
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There's some worry that the economic growth won't be as strong as had been hoped and that's taking stocks lower, ... It's the combination of GDP not growing as fast as had been hoped, and the Dow Transports, which is a leading economic indicator, falling as well.
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My suspicion is the stock is not doing much now, it's not earth-shattering.
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The stock market is a discounting mechanism. Many people recently have seen their mortgages raised -- and many people have adjustable rate mortgages -- unfortunately they have been raised. Oil prices are at near highs. It impacts people's discretionary income. And I think we're seeing it in those stocks that would have a relationship to that discretionary income.
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Obviously, these stocks have had a huge run-up. The theory is to sell on the news. That's what's occurring is you're selling on the news.
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The 2003 rally was on low interest rates and a weak dollar. Now, that's changed. The dollar bottomed in February, and I think people are realizing what higher rates are going to mean for the stock market.
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How people feel determines where stocks go. It's a simplistic thing, but it's true. The volume is good, and you've got a nice bounce today, but the main thing is that stocks are reacting positively now, even when there is negative news.
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Stocks have priced in a lot of good news right now and you're seeing that in effect. Good news is bad news and bad news is bad news.
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You've got a lot of factors lifting stocks today, ... You've got all the tech upgrades, money flowing out of gold, oil and the bond market, and the ISM this morning was all-in-all pretty good.
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I think traders are quick to take profits right now, because what else is there that stocks can do for an encore in the short term? We're still in an uptrend, but the probability right now, from a technical standpoint, is that we're going to have a little more selling.
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Interest rate fears are fully discounted now, which is why bonds are up today, ... That's why stocks are bouncing, why the utilities are rallying, regional bank groups are rallying. But I don't think the market is going to have much more lift here.
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Lowe's was maybe a bit of a letdown this morning, and the other retailers and some of the homebuilding stocks are down. The Dow transportation average is also weak today, despite UAL's gains. There's really no new news today to push us too much in either direction. We've had a great run recently and a minor decline isn't so bad.