Phil Dow
Phil Dow
close depressive economy emotional guess manic point seen wash
I think it's still emotional and we've seen a manic depressive market. It has very little to do with the economy and my guess is it will wash out at some point ? I think we're getting close here.
capture driving groups guess headed leading market maybe percent represents technology
Right now, technology represents about 24 percent of the capitalization of the S&P, ... My guess is we're headed up to maybe the 20s or maybe 30 percent. If you look back historically, leading groups can capture that much of the market and I think technology's driving the market right now.
asset financial growth guess market solutions stocks styles trying value
This year, the market is trying to tell you to be selective. If you look at the stocks that have moved, it really has not been just 30 big stocks; it's been all asset classes, all styles -- value and growth have delivered. The ones that are really getting fundamental financial guide, post-traction are those that are delivering. So my guess is selectivity is the key, and I think you've got to be in kind of best-of-breed solutions right now.
companies earnings economic feature fed focal guess market miss money months move past point powerful rally reports season sentiment talked three
We're at the tenderloin of the earnings season and you are going to see powerful earnings reports from a lot of companies this week, and I think while we have got economic reports, earnings are going to be the focal point of the market right now, ... I think one feature that we've not talked a lot about is just the sentiment on the part of professional money managers. They have had to be kind of tentative the past two or three months with the Fed hiking. My guess is the one move they can't miss is a big up move here, and I think you could have a train-leaving-the-station kind of rally as institutions come into this marketplace.
guess next position stocks trend year
The overwhelming trend will be more to position portfolios for the next year and my guess is that you'll see some of the stocks that have done well do better,
guess value
My guess is that value will have its day,
beginning critical early good guess invested january money positive year
My sense is that January is going to be critical this year and I think you can see a good beginning to the month. I think you can see a positive January and my guess is that's how you're going to see money invested -- early and strongly.
accelerate america believe grow guess obviously recover
If you don't believe America is going to grow and recover from this, obviously you should sell, ... My guess is it's going to accelerate our recovery.
america corporate drive earnings economy eventually financial focus general good guide half high home last lower main market people period productive rather second showing stocks time trade unique wears year
I think a productive economy is the main thing people should take home with them. This is a unique period in American history. I think we'll look back on it as a time you wanted to own stocks rather than trade stocks. I think, secondarily, corporate America is showing good earnings reports. The second half of this year may be lower than the second half of last year, but they're still robust, probably in the high teens. I think if you focus on financial guide posts, that eventually will drive prices. I think you'll see the market in general do better as the year wears on.
ahead believes expand holding market news seems volume
I think we are in a recovery, but no one ever believes it ahead of time. To me, it's pretty encouraging to see volume expand when the market is going up. And while the news is not improving, the market seems to be holding up.
caused coast economy focus following gulf major rebuilding resilient since
Rebuilding in the Gulf Coast will be a major focus following the destruction caused by hurricanes in the region. This is yet another demonstration of how resilient the economy has been since Sept. 11, 2001.
immediate looking safe
I think if you're looking for immediate gratification, there's probably no place that's real safe to buy,
folks names
I think most folks are under-diversified, and I'd like to see more names in a portfolio,
buy favor hold kinds names periods
Try to buy those kinds of names when they're out of favor and hold on to them for long periods of time,