David Rosenberg
David Rosenberg
David Rosenberg, born in 1965, is a French art curator and author, specialized in modern and contemporary art...
ProfessionMusical.ly Star
Date of Birth19 April 1997
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It is basically a subtle way to flash to the market that the negative economic consequences are resonating and that the Fed may not just look at this as a temporary soft patch this time.
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We are clearly in a state of economic uncertainty and the prudent thing to do in such times is to do nothing at all.
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As the economy continues to slow and inflation remains benign we expect the Fed will be in easing mode by the second half.
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Although an inverted yield curve does not always imply an economic recession, it has predicted a profit recession 100 per cent of the time.
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The Fed seems intent on raising rates through this Katrina business on the view that the pending rebuild stimulus will trump the near-term economic loss.
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I thought this was the most amazing thing you could do for people.
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We estimate the near-term loss in terms of output, employment and income in the affected area coupled with the surge in energy costs that impacts everyone will offset any future rebuilding by a factor of two to one.
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Over the past three decades, the Fed tightened on eight occasions, five of these saw the yield curve invert,
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Out of those five times, the economy fell into recession 100 per cent of the time.
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Katrina's effects are being felt nationally-on the nation's transportation arteries, supply chains, chemical plants, airlines, leisure/hotels, gasoline prices everywhere and retailing. The commercial impact is widespread.
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I think it does complicate the rate hike picture and the near-term interest rate outlook.
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That will just reinforce the slowdown in consumer spending.
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The only factors that actually prevented the first quarter from slipping into negative territory ... were the high starting point heading into it and the pre-war spending and inventory building we saw in January. As far as the second quarter is concerned, we are clearly losing momentum as we approach it.
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We are excited for the opportunity to help create value for our investment partners with this new portfolio, which is located in our core market area, while continuing to carry out our mission--to provide responsibly managed apartment communities for people who appreciate superior service and exceptional value.