Donald Selkin
Donald Selkin
economy-and-economics fed meant reassuring result
I think the Fed meant to say something reassuring about the economy, but the result was very confusing.
economic fed historic job months morning near raise rates reports several strong until
The Fed is not going to raise rates until they see several months of strong job growth. And even if they do raise rates slightly, the rates will still be right near these historic lows. GDP this morning was not as strong as expected, but you had the other two economic reports that were good.
earnings economy-and-economics less rate shift stocks
The earnings have been tremendous. We are going to see a shift back to 'new economy' stocks because they are less rate sensitive.
adjusting corporate economic fact high market move pace profits recovery slower
The market is adjusting to the fact that corporate profits may not be as high as was previously thought and that the economic recovery may move at a slower pace than it did in the first quarter.
economy-and-economics impact main obviously tragedy
The main thing is how this tragedy is going to impact the economy, and obviously it's negative.
bias economic grind hugely likely next terms week
There's nothing much next week in terms of earnings, and not really hugely influential economic news, but the bias is still pretty positive, and I think we're likely to grind higher.
business confidence consumer corporate economic good industry linked negative profits recovery reports suffering travel worried
Right now business stinks, consumer confidence is down, the travel industry is suffering and the economic reports haven't been good and any economic recovery is going to be linked to the war. There haven't been too many first-quarter negative pre-announcements, but I'm still worried about corporate profits in the first quarter.
build continues decent economy economy-and-economics improvement labor market slight
If we show a build on the slight improvement in the labor market we've seen, if the economy continues to grow, there will be a decent November.
avoid components cyclical economy economy-and-economics stocks
Cyclical stocks should really not do well if the economy is going to slow, and you can see, look at the cyclical components of the Dow, a stock like International Paper, Du Pont, all at multi-year lows. I really don't see much there, I would avoid them.
bulk comments earnings economic fourth holiday positive quarter season stocks strong
By November, the bulk of the third-quarter earnings will be out there, and we know that they've been pretty good. But for stocks to go higher, we're going to need another catalyst. Expectations for a strong fourth quarter could do it, positive comments on the holiday season could do it, but really, I think it's going to be the economic news.
card earnings economic higher hit numbers wild
If we can hit these economic numbers and the earnings are good, and we can chug a little higher this week, that would be helpful. The wild card is still oil.
cliche hates market
It's two things. The old cliche is that the market hates uncertainty. So this removes the uncertainty.
completed extent fed justifies rally reaction stunned
It's such a knee-jerk reaction. I don't think that what the Fed said justifies the kind of reaction we saw. I would like to think that we could rally back after the certification is completed tomorrow, but I don't know. I am just stunned by the extent of this decline. Hopefully, it was a one-time reaction.
balanced basket fund losing
If you're in a traditional balanced fund or a traditional basket of old-line stocks, you're losing money.