James Awad
James Awad
current earnings gains justify powerful turn year
You have to have a powerful earnings turn around this year to justify gains from current levels,
currently earn share stock trades
The stock is cheap, not well followed, and I think it's undervalued, ... The stock currently trades at about $21, and I think it will earn about $2.60 a share for the year.
attractive bit buying care current early fair financial fork levels market month north percent period rising risk selling stock stocks value yield
North Fork Bancorp stock is selling at about 20. We think its fair value would be about 30. But meanwhile, you're getting a 3 percent dividend yield and it's selling at 10 times earnings. Demographically, it's a very attractive area. So, your risk in buying North Fork is that you're a little bit early and the market doesn't care about value stocks for a while. And of course, in a period of rising rates, financial stocks don't do particularly well. But, ... if you buy it and put it away, you'll end up making 50 percent from current levels over a 12 to 18 month period.
amount based clearly concern current economic growth inflation lead talk watching
You clearly have to keep watching this inflation issue. You do have to have some concern that, based on history, the current amount of economic growth should lead to inflation. But if you talk to companies, it's not happening.
call
I think what you're in now is what we'll call the
becoming technology
I think what you have in technology is it's becoming a stock-by-stock issue,
bear highs interest market terms unlikely
I think it's unlikely that you'll get a bear market because the fundamentals are too good. On the other hand, you're not going to make new highs in the market as long as we have uncertainty in terms of interest rates,
internet people speculate urge
I would urge people not to speculate in the Internet sector.
apparent clearly cost embedded exactly fed gains great growth increases issue itself market mean period profits retail slowing stock strong successful tough troubling volume worrying
I think retail is going to be a very tough place to make money. What's worrying the market now is -- if the Fed is successful in slowing the economy, what does it mean for profits going forward? And that is apparent - that's more clearly an issue in retail than anyplace else. But it is an issue in the market itself that you're going into a period here where profit growth may decelerate; in fact, could flatten out as you have volume gains decelerate in a slowing economy, but cost increases embedded in from the period when you had a strong economy; and that's not exactly a great prescription for profits, and I think that's troubling the stock market,
almost commodity corporate earnings high reasons strongest worried worry
There are a lot of reasons to worry about corporate earnings because of gasoline, oil, high commodity prices. It's almost like damned if you do, damned if you don't, because you're worried about what these commodities are doing to the economy, yet they're the strongest thing in the market.
almost came dead eventually four great growth money month stock three
This stock is down from over $50 a share, but is just a great long-term, growth stock, ... We think it will go back to over $50 a share, at some point, and back to almost where it came public. It may be dead money for a month or two, but I think eventually you will make three or four times your money on it.
clearing corporate election increase mergers next percent profits
With the election clearing the deck, I think you'll see more momentum. If you're going to have a 10 percent increase in corporate profits next year, I don't see why you couldn't be up 20 percent (in mergers and acquisitions).
companies period tech
We're going to go through a period where we find out what tech companies are really what they thought they were and which were hype.
coming housing negative numbers oil positive today worse
The positive today is that oil is coming down, the negative is that the housing numbers are worse than expected.