James Awad
James Awad
bear highs interest market terms unlikely
I think it's unlikely that you'll get a bear market because the fundamentals are too good. On the other hand, you're not going to make new highs in the market as long as we have uncertainty in terms of interest rates,
almost commodity corporate earnings high reasons strongest worried worry
There are a lot of reasons to worry about corporate earnings because of gasoline, oil, high commodity prices. It's almost like damned if you do, damned if you don't, because you're worried about what these commodities are doing to the economy, yet they're the strongest thing in the market.
continued earnings economic higher market move reports sprint toward
When all is said and done, I think the market will sprint higher toward the end of the year. But it's going to take continued encouraging earnings and economic reports to move it along.
against earnings economy fear good higher interest market oil power rates rising strength struggle
The tradeoff and struggle in the market is the power of good earnings and the strength of the economy against the fear of higher interest rates and rising oil prices,
bulls cheap expensive generally given high historic individual interest key low stocks
Price-to-earnings ratios are high by historic standards, but the bulls would say that, given low interest rates, they're not too expensive. I think they're generally not convincingly cheap or expensive -- the key is to find individual stocks that are cheap.
higher iranian issue lurking oil tension until works
This Iranian issue is lurking as tension in the background. It's going to keep oil higher until it works its way out.
bush cat game gonna happen highly iraq mouse positive short
This is a tactic. In the very short term, it will be highly positive for the markets. But what's gonna happen here is you're going to see a cat and mouse game between Bush and Iraq for some time.
coming driving earnings force higher interest market overcome quarter rates results strong weeks
The driving force for the market over coming weeks is going to be earnings -- what were the first quarter results and what is the outlook. You need strong earnings to overcome the headwinds of higher interest rates and inflation, because those aren't going away.
call
I think what you're in now is what we'll call the
becoming technology
I think what you have in technology is it's becoming a stock-by-stock issue,
internet people speculate urge
I would urge people not to speculate in the Internet sector.
apparent clearly cost embedded exactly fed gains great growth increases issue itself market mean period profits retail slowing stock strong successful tough troubling volume worrying
I think retail is going to be a very tough place to make money. What's worrying the market now is -- if the Fed is successful in slowing the economy, what does it mean for profits going forward? And that is apparent - that's more clearly an issue in retail than anyplace else. But it is an issue in the market itself that you're going into a period here where profit growth may decelerate; in fact, could flatten out as you have volume gains decelerate in a slowing economy, but cost increases embedded in from the period when you had a strong economy; and that's not exactly a great prescription for profits, and I think that's troubling the stock market,
almost came dead eventually four great growth money month stock three
This stock is down from over $50 a share, but is just a great long-term, growth stock, ... We think it will go back to over $50 a share, at some point, and back to almost where it came public. It may be dead money for a month or two, but I think eventually you will make three or four times your money on it.
clearing corporate election increase mergers next percent profits
With the election clearing the deck, I think you'll see more momentum. If you're going to have a 10 percent increase in corporate profits next year, I don't see why you couldn't be up 20 percent (in mergers and acquisitions).