Jason Schenker
Jason Schenker
continued economic growth huge inflation likely next week
Next week is a huge week for data, and it is likely to show continued economic growth and inflation well under control.
bull continue crude declines disruption full inventory massive oil premium prices relentless run supply winter
Massive inventory declines in crude oil are part of a three-month trend, heating oil prices continue their relentless rise, and the supply disruption premium is in full effect. This may only be the beginning; the winter oil bull run has begun.
category continue count increase rest seen volatile
That's a very volatile category. We can't necessarily count on the increase we've seen in that category to continue the rest of the year.
apply continues decline downward imports iranian manifest next notion petroleum prices relatively remains rise situation week
If the rise in imports and utilization manifest this week continues next week, it could apply some downward pressure. Of course, any decline in petroleum prices would be predicated on the notion that the Iranian geopolitical situation remains relatively quiet.
continued domestic employment fuel further gains gross growth higher home interest mitigate product sales slowing solid strong
Strong continued gross domestic product growth and solid employment gains should fuel further home sales and may mitigate some of the slowing engendered by higher interest rates.
economic katrina number resilience robust service shown survey wake
The ISM service survey joins a number of economic indicators that have shown robust economic resilience in the wake of Katrina and Rita,
health likely near overall
In the near term, the overall health of inventories is likely to be important.
held prices worries
Prices are being held up by worries about gasoline.
above justify prices production remain tough
If prices remain above 60 dollars, it will be tough for OPEC to justify a production cut.
companies oil profit stand
The companies stand to do some profit because the oil is already there. All they have to do is take it off the ground.
employment ill
The employment index, however, declined. This could bode ill for October's payrolls.
anticipate bubble homes
If there were a lot of homes in inventory, we could anticipate a bubble bursting, but there isn't,
consuming countries energy moving power shocks supply
Geopolitical power is moving from energy consuming countries to the producers. We may see more of these supply shocks in the years ahead.
accurately captures couple hope market months
After a couple of months of overestimating, we redid our modeling. We hope this more accurately captures what's going on in the market place.