John Davidson
John Davidson
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I've talked about Key Energy Group for a while, and Capstone is one of the companies that's building these micro turbines that I think actually just reported last week and had a more negative number than expected because they've ramped up some of their production, As a result, that hit their expense line, ... But I think that's a good idea going forward.
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This will showcase contemporary Scottish design talent in an accessible way.
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Often people don't really have an awareness of these really successful Scots. One of the ideas behind the award show was to throw a bit of a focus on Scots who have had stellar careers.
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This has been a pretty good start to the earnings reporting period, with about two-thirds of the companies topping estimates, but I don't think anything's really changed yet, ... Greenspan suggested that we may be on the verge of a growth period, which would be significant for earnings, because mostly what you're seeing now are companies showing improvements on cost-cutting, rather than real growth.
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Amazon is unique in having been successful at starting as an Internet-only business,
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There's a lot of earnings and other news out there today, but I think the market is particularly reacting to Greenspan's testimony, ... The markets are expecting a little more growth because of his comments, but that may not be as much as what they wanted to hear.
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You've seen how OPEC has had some discipline, and that's helped to support the price of oil, and maybe the gold players are seeing that if they use some discipline as well that that may also affect the gold price and their business.
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Despite the decline, the ISM report was very positive, and what you can take away from it is that the economy is continuing to expand. The question for 2004 is whether that continued expansion has already been reflected in the 25 percent returns you saw in stocks last year.
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With Vice President Cheney saying we need 38,000 more miles, in addition to repairing existing ones, that Key Energy group is a key player there,
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We agree that technology is probably the greatest area of growth both in biotechnology and information technology, but I think people need to balance that to dampen the volatility, and one of the areas to look at is in the natural resources area.
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That's what high school sports are all about -- you want your guys to be in a situation where they can remember those last-second victories. It's kind of like hitting a home run in the bottom of the ninth. You live for those moments.
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In recent years, the Fed has made a real attempt to be transparent, ... If they are going to change direction, they are going to signal it first.
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In this environment, people seem to have gravitated toward natural resources, utilities and materials and away from technology.
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I'm looking for a recovery in the economy in the second half of the year, contingent on a continued aggressive Fed and a tax cut. I see a consumer-led recovery in the second half and that will help give us an earnings boost.