Larry Sabato
Larry Sabato
Larry Joseph Sabatois an American political scientist and political analyst. He is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, where he is also the founder and director of the Center for Politics, which works to promote civic engagement and participation. The Center for Politics is also responsible for the publication of Sabato's Crystal Ball, an online newsletter and website that provides free political analysis and electoral projections...
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They're watching, ... Warner has the responsibility as party leader to come up with someone who can give Allen a run for his money so Allen has to spend down the millions he's accumulating for his all-but-announced presidential bid.
people watching
A lot of people are watching that race.
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A majority of Americans living today, a surprisingly small majority because of the large youthful population, still remembers Watergate. And when we hear the word eavesdropping, those of us who lived during Watergate, we think of the nefarious activities of the Nixon administration.
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This is bound to help Thune, like a pardon,
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This is both a substantive and a stylistic problem for Bush. Stylistically, he needs to convince people that he is in charge now and he gets it now .
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This is a red state, he came in on Election Eve and he had no discernible effect. If anything, he may have cost Kilgore some votes.
expensive incumbent race
This is going to be a very expensive race between an incumbent and a quasi-incumbent.
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This is going to be a very difficult race just to get the nomination, not to mention winning the general election. The alternative is that he could practically ask for the Virginia governorship in 2009 and have it; his for the asking if he doesn't have a loss on his record in 2008.
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This is red meat for Democratic activists. Many Democrats wonder if she can be elected in November 2008, so she has to keep the activist Democrats onboard. They're the ones who vote in the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries.
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The Bush administration simply cannot let this happen. They have to stop this one way or the other. It would make a mockery of much of what President Bush has about our creation of a new democracy in Afghanistan.
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That's not quite what the critics had in mind. This is minimal change.
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As far as others in his party are concerned, Simmons' district is highly competitive and in a strong Democratic year, it could easily be lost. ... These favors are done for Simmons simply to save the seat.
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They shore up the party base, making sure that the faithful turn out, and they show that they think the races are important, which sometimes they aren't.
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The only thing I take from this poll and the two previous ones is that the race is as tight as a tick. It can go either way.