Nate Silver
Nate Silver
Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silveris an American statistician and writer who analyzes baseballand elections. He is currently the editor-in-chief of ESPN's FiveThirtyEight blog and a Special Correspondent for ABC News. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionJournalist
Date of Birth13 January 1978
CityEast Lansing, MI
CountryUnited States of America
Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately.
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Precise forecasts masquerade as accurate ones.
Finding patterns is easy in any kind of data-rich environment; that's what mediocre gamblers do. The key is in determining whether the patterns represent signal or noise
You don't want to treat any one person as oracular.
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.'
A lot of the time nothing happens in a day.
It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis.
People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting.
We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that.
Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much.
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.