Robert Brusca
Robert Brusca
begin creates creep demand employees evidence fed gains generally inflation quite realize scenario starting wage worker
Worker productivity generally creates a scenario where employees realize they can begin to demand more for what they do. While the year-over-year productivity gains are still quite good, there is some evidence that wage inflation may be starting to creep in. The Fed won't like this.
economy-and-economics happening mixed results
We're getting sort-of mixed results with what is happening in the economy.
aggressive banks curtail economic extent feeds less risk taking
The extent to which it feeds back to you and me is that banks become less aggressive about taking risk ... and this could curtail economic activity.
markets radar reason recession stock talk
There is a reason for stock markets to be worried. But I don't think we need to talk about recession yet -- it's not on the radar screen.
caught cause
LTCM didn't cause this; LTCM got caught up in this,
cuts job seeing stay
We're still seeing job cuts in manufacturing, and it's going to stay that way for some time.
compensate energy eventually fact itself month period prices work works
Eventually you have other prices going down to compensate for the fact that energy went up. But that doesn't work itself out in a month or two; it works out over a period of time.
gains inflation toe
This is the way inflation gains a toe hold,
chasing few inflation money oil prices
Oil prices going up is not inflationary. Inflation is too much money chasing too few goods.
greenspan line price says stability telling
This is in line with what Mr. Greenspan has been telling us, which is that we have price stability for goods. But he says he doesn't think we have price stability for services.
begun behind economy economy-and-economics growth job pushed signs slow strong surface
I think some of the job growth has been pushed forward. Behind the surface of these very strong reports, there are signs the economy has begun to slow down.
borrowing fed mistake
The Fed has never said this borrowing is a mistake and that this is a problem.
batch consistent consumer early numbers reports says seen severe signal soft softness spending strength
It's really a soft batch of numbers today. Nothing says 'recession' or severe slowdown but there is a consistent signal of softness that permeates these reports and belies some of the strength in consumer spending that we have seen early in the year.
economy economy-and-economics federal reserve soft spot talked
The Federal Reserve has talked about the economy being in a soft spot -- well, it's really in a soft spot.