Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
figures labor market recovery station strongly suggest train
These figures strongly suggest that the labor market recovery train is still not even at the train station as of yet.
conditions energy labor market movement prices seen
The movement in labor market conditions is a lot more important than the movement in energy prices. Only when labor market conditions are deteriorating have we historically seen that energy prices have an impact.
early labor market seems slow start
The labor market seems to be improving, but still at such slow pace, it's probably too early to start celebrating.
competition entering labor less leverage means people
More people are entering the labor force, so there is more competition. More competition means there's less leverage for employees.
costs eventually labor makers policy
Policy makers make policy on long-term trends, ... This is temporary. Labor costs will eventually come down.
consumer demand downward expect faster growing higher hopeful labor linger peak percent pressure sort turn
If you have productivity growing faster than the economy, how can you expect demand for labor to be all that strong? I'm still hopeful that unemployment won't go much higher than 6.2 percent or 6.3 percent, but where we'll peak is not as important as when we turn around. If we sort of linger at 6.2 percent, that will put some downward pressure on consumer spending.
labor market mind question
There's no question in my mind that the labor market is improving.
barometer clearly conditions employment household incorrect labor market measure relying shows
This clearly shows that relying on the household survey's employment measure as a barometer of labor market conditions is not only risky, but also an incorrect assumption,
confidence confirm consumer continuing investor labor market notion numbers sentiment weak
These numbers confirm the notion that consumer spending, which has been so resilient, is under some threat. With investor sentiment so weak and the labor market continuing to deteriorate, consumer confidence had only one way to go -- lower.
appear clearly conditions fed hikes investors justify labor less makers market policy pressures rate rather report spoil wage
This is clearly a non-threatening report for investors and policy makers alike. Labor market conditions appear to be tepid enough to justify less rather than more Fed rate hikes while wage pressures did not spoil the party.
continued despite fed greenspan improvement inclined labor latest market might move neutral remain risks small suggest testimony towards
The small improvement in labor market conditions, despite the continued risks that remain on this front, do suggest that even with all the caveats that Greenspan echoed in his latest testimony ... the Fed might be inclined to move towards a neutral risk bias.
bottom consider consumer continue further gets labor line market rate
The bottom line is, the labor market is going to continue to show further deterioration, not because it's getting worse, but because of mechanics. As the unemployment rate gets higher, the consumer is going to consider that.
ahead fear gain labor markets monetary policy rate release report rise robust sting takes
The rise in the unemployment rate takes much of the sting away from the robust gain in payrolls from a monetary policy perspective. The big fear ahead of the release of this report was that labor markets were overheating.
admit although correct current darker economy environment growth labor lacks market momentum needed positive side
Although the current growth environment is not impressive, positive growth is still positive growth. On the darker side of things, however, we must admit that the economy still lacks the growth momentum needed to correct many of the labor market ailments.