Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
balanced best chance coming economy moderate recovery since turning
This is an economy coming back, but it's going to be a moderate recovery. But we should not despair, since a balanced recovery has the best chance of turning into a longer-lasting recovery.
housing obviously spells starting trouble turning
If housing is starting to weaken and manufacturing is not turning around, obviously it spells trouble for the economy.
continue dollar further reduction ship suspicion turning until value
My suspicion is the value of the dollar has to continue to weaken. Until we see further reduction in the value of the dollar, we won't be turning the ship around.
consumer demand downward expect faster growing higher hopeful labor linger peak percent pressure sort turn
If you have productivity growing faster than the economy, how can you expect demand for labor to be all that strong? I'm still hopeful that unemployment won't go much higher than 6.2 percent or 6.3 percent, but where we'll peak is not as important as when we turn around. If we sort of linger at 6.2 percent, that will put some downward pressure on consumer spending.
components core headline number running strip telling turning volatile
The headline number is encouraging, but if you strip out the volatile components and look at core growth, it's telling you we're turning the corner, but we're not running around the corner.
bit consumer effect equity higher markets positively react turn wealth
As the equity markets react positively to this change, we get a bit of a positive wealth effect which in turn should induce higher consumer spending.
declining deficit economic growth loss slight
A declining deficit may be signaling a slight loss of economic growth momentum.
economic fragile recovery
This economic recovery is a lot more fragile than most of us thought.
creeping housing rates seeing
You're seeing inventories creeping up and affordability pinching more and more, and you're seeing long-term rates creeping up. All that suggests a trimming of housing activity.
equity market oil positive potential prices rising
Oil prices have not been a positive for the equity market with the potential for rising inflation.
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The resiliency of the consumer is very impressive in the wake of so many terror warnings. One cautionary note is that, moving forward, these numbers may soften, as those warnings are still coming.
burden despite economic fact low population prior rate relative remains since unemployed
Despite the fact that the unemployment rate remains low relative to prior economic downturns, the burden on the unemployed population has been the most severe, by one measure, since at least 1972.
cyclical difficult factors increase means power pressure pricing push reduce
More globalization means there's more pressure to increase productivity, not to reduce it. No pricing power means there's more pressure to increase productivity, not less, ... There's so much pressure to push it higher, it will be difficult for cyclical factors to push it lower.
alan best bit certainly continue describe financial great greenspan inflation markets prove realize report worried worries
The best way to describe this report is 'holy cow,' ... This is a great report. We have Alan Greenspan a little bit worried about inflation and certainly the financial markets will realize that those worries certainly continue to prove to be unfounded.