Gary Thayer
Gary Thayer
appears concerned cooling existing holding homes housing market
It appears that the market for existing homes is holding up better than the market for new home sales. We are still concerned about the housing market cooling off.
cooling dropping help homes housing inventory market sales support sustained
If sales can be sustained at this level, that would help support housing construction, but inventory of new homes is still increasing. The housing market is cooling off, but not dropping sharply.
cooling data gradually home homes housing increases market moderate october price sales seeing suggesting
The October home sales data were strong, but we are seeing more moderate price increases for new homes suggesting that the housing market is gradually cooling off.
cooling housing inflation looks market relatively
The housing market is cooling off, but not too much, and inflation looks relatively benign.
close peak
I think we're close to a peak in the unemployment rate. The upswings in manufacturing and non-manufacturing show we're close to it now.
close peak
I think we're close to a peak in the unemployment rate, ... The upswings in manufacturing and non-manufacturing show we're close to it now.
cause concerned economy healthy heat inflation pressure road somewhere trajectory
I think what he's concerned about is that the economy is on a good, healthy trajectory and if we do see some upward pressure on inflation somewhere down the road that that could cause the economy to heat up a bit.
anticipate fed good hold inflation news people stay
We got good news on inflation. People anticipate that with inflation still very low, the Fed will stay on hold for awhile.
bit confidence healthy high pull saw year
Overall, confidence is still at a healthy level, up from where it was a year ago, but we did pull back a bit from the three-year high that we saw in June.
buying consumers
It does show consumers are in a buying mood,
consumers employment happening negative possibly situation taking
It is encouraging that consumers are taking the negative things that are happening recently. Possibly the employment situation is outweighing other concerns.
orders weakness
Manufacturing is expanding, but not as broadly as in November. There was weakness in new orders and employment.
australian crude demand early looking oil peaked time zealand
Looking back, it is understandable why the Australian and New Zealand currencies peaked in early 2005. That was about the same time that the demand for crude oil also started to moderate.
above business expansion fed outlook pointing quite zero
The Philadelphia Fed business outlook index is still above zero in January, pointing to expansion, but the expansion is not quite as broad.