Hugh Johnson
Hugh Johnson
Hugh Johnson OBEis a British author and expert on wine. He is considered the world's best-selling wine writer. His 1961 tasting of a bottle of 1540 Steinwein from the German vineyard Würzburger Stein is considered to potentially be one of the oldest wines to have ever been tasted...
ProfessionNon-Fiction Author
Date of Birth10 March 1939
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When you say the stock market is overvalued, you imply that the stock market is going down. But there is a touch of lunacy in every bull market -- stocks can become even more overvalued. A rational investment policy in an irrational world is suicide.
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When it appears as though the governors of the Federal Reserve believe that the end of the rate increases is near, that's very good news for investors. A lack of ambiguity from the Federal Reserve is always a little bit of a shocker.
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What we're seeing from Lehman is that market conditions improved through the summer, and that conditions are likely to continue improving. That's showing up in the earnings and in the detail of their reports.
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We're moving beyond that -- the market's almost immune to the scandals now.
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We're forever in search of the Holy Grail of investing and that's some formula to give us the answer, ... That's the whole problem. These things work - until you try to use them.
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ultimately extremely good news for the health of the market.
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There are big risks when you get leveraged,
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We did have a little rain last Friday and Saturday, but this is the biggest rainfall we've had in months.
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Yesterday's weak ISM number shows the manufacturing sector is just limping along. Another report this week suggests that Friday's August employment report may not be very good. Worries about the economy resurface and are reflected in stocks,
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Yes, it creates volatility around the world when they pounce. As a small investor, you should keep an eye on hedge fund activity?It's going to be a part of our financial landscape. You're going to have to live with that.
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When the markets struggled for a technical bounce in the morning, that was investors sending a message that we're either heading toward an economic recession or toward a profits recession.
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We might get blindsided by some (hedge fund) announcement that nobody's anticipating, ... You worry about another big bolt out of the blue.
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Like any indicator, whether it's the Super Bowl or anything else, it's sometimes right and sometimes wrong. It's just not very rational to conclude that if January is a bad month, the market will have a bad year.
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Would I bottom fish in these industry groups? Emphatically no, ... I see no reason to believe these problems will be solved anytime soon.