Anthony Chan
Anthony Chan
clears future investors likely listening monetary path says
Investors will be intently listening to see if he says anything that clears up what the future monetary path is likely to be,
ability diverse higher investing lower markets move offers opportunity portfolio rate return
International investing offers the opportunity for diversification. What you want in a diverse portfolio is the ability to have some markets move differently from other markets. You get a much higher rate of return with lower risk.
deficit far higher ignore saying sufficient tolerate
He's saying so far there is sufficient flexibility that we can tolerate a higher deficit than we could 10 years ago. He didn't say ignore it.
confirmed economy falling notion recession
Certainly, we see some encouragement. We see an economy that's still weak... but not falling off the cliff. The notion that we're not going to have a recession is confirmed by these numbers.
buyers carrying costs holding prices properties six spot sweet three
Buyers are going to be in a sweet spot in about three to six months. The speculators who are still holding properties will be panicking by then as their carrying costs mount. It won't be a bloodbath, but that's when prices should be at their lowest.
act calendar economic expect financial markets near next panic reassuring recovery remain revealing risks several telling towards weakness weighed willing within
By telling us that the risks are more heavily weighed towards weakness while simultaneously stating that they expect an economic recovery within the next several calendar quarters, they are revealing that they remain willing to act if they need to while also reassuring financial markets that there is no need for panic over the near term.
federal pressures react reserve starting
Inflationary pressures are starting to percolate --and the Federal Reserve is going to react to this.
fed feels guarantees pause report stand
I don't think this report guarantees a pause, but it doesn't stand in the way of a pause if the Fed feels it's something they should look at.
jobs last moment months quarter saw similar third three
For the moment the third quarter is probably going to be similar to what we saw the last three months -- probably between 250,000 to 300,000 new jobs every month,
market
For the moment, the market is celebrating because the announcement removes uncertainty.
button certainly equity expected federal good hikes housing interest news policies reserve slowing somewhat
For the equity market, this is somewhat good news because certainly (the report) is an important button for the Federal Reserve to see if its policies are working and that housing is slowing down, as it would be expected to do so, with all the hikes in short-term interest rates.
housing obviously spells starting trouble turning
If housing is starting to weaken and manufacturing is not turning around, obviously it spells trouble for the economy.
danger economic federal numbers pause raise rates recovery reserve situation statistics surprise three yes
I don't think the recovery is in danger. But I think what we have here is a situation where the Federal Reserve will probably look at the numbers a lot more closely. If we see another two or three economic statistics that surprise us, yes the Fed can pause and not raise rates in August.
cut economy evidence expect far growth headed information justify months slower
It's unreasonable to expect that the information we have so far could justify another cut right now. We need to see more evidence the economy is headed for much slower growth in the months ahead.