Art Hogan
Art Hogan
good market means money rough seen staying stuff worked
We've seen some really good stuff and some really rough stuff, ... The market has worked its way through a bottom, at least on the Nasdaq and S&P. Money is rotating, so that means it's staying in the market and that's good news.
coming data earnings economic great marquee whether
We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.
broader compared concerned data economy half investors lows market process second sector services surprise terms test
In terms of the thought process on the economy, today's ISM data on the services sector didn't help. It didn't really come as a surprise -- but, having said that, the broader thought process that the economy isn't doing well in the second half compared with the first half has investors concerned that we may need to test the lows of the market again.
acts again attract bond concerns higher interest markets money note rates side south stocks tax yield
Concerns about higher interest rates and the yield on the 10-year note may keep stocks on the south side again this morning. The higher yield ... acts as a tax on corporations, and it may also attract money to the bond markets from equities.
bets concerned economy people slowing
Obviously, we are still concerned about how much the economy is slowing going forward. There are a lot of people who aren't making bets on this marketplace.
broader compared concerned economy economy-and-economics half investors lows market process second surprise test
It didn't really come as a surprise -- but, having said that, the broader thought process that the economy isn't doing well in the second half compared with the first half has investors concerned that we may need to test the lows of the market again.
attractive concern dollar europeans firmness last raising rates seeing start
The concern (about ECB rates) is that the firmness we've been seeing in the dollar is because they were raising rates and the Europeans weren't, ... If they start raising rates, that firmness evaporates, and our investments don't look as attractive as they did last week.
convinced excited future optimistic oracle rebound second
Just because Oracle is up and is optimistic about the future is not getting us excited about everything, ... Nobody's convinced there will be a rebound in the second half.
reflex seeing
It's an oversold bounce, ... After you get oversold, you have a reflex rally, and that's what we're seeing now.
borrowing continues corporate costs fear fed increase less piece speaks stocks stop wages
The increase in wages was the piece that really speaks to the inflationary pressure. The fear is that the Fed doesn't stop in March, that it continues through May. If corporate America's borrowing costs go up, that makes stocks less attractive.
december economy fed knows looks short
The Fed disappointed us short term, ... The economy looks better than it did in December and the Fed knows more than we do.
direction downward headed lower push stocks
It doesn't take much to push stocks lower in this market, ... Stocks have been headed in a downward direction for a while.
fourth quarter signs
I think the fourth quarter is going to be great, ... We just don't have signs of it yet.
matter
Clearly, we will see stabilization. It's just a matter of when.