Art Hogan
Art Hogan
coming data earnings economic great marquee whether
We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.
corporate hear hopefully negative positive terms
We're still in the pre-reporting season, so, we'll hear more warnings from corporate America, hopefully more positive than negative in terms of guidance.
admit companies half lingering second starting
We're starting to see that companies are starting to admit that the second half is going to be slow, so that's a lingering fear,
base building collateral corporate damage earnings happening higher larger last major market news seeing six stocks support weeks
We're seeing better earnings news in corporate America. That's what the market is celebrating, ... We made major collateral damage to stocks in the last six weeks and over a larger 2-1/2-year period. What's happening now is that the market is bottoming out and is building a higher support base in the process.
bond drive due energy focus items ongoing prices today
We've got more ongoing focus on the bond yields. We've been in lockstep with it all week, and today is no different. There aren't any market-moving items due today, so we'll look at energy prices today for something else to drive the market.
ahead bets earnings last news payroll people reluctant report week
We have just digested so much news in the last week or so, ... Fourth-quarter earnings have been much better than expected, but you have people reluctant to make big bets ahead of things like the payroll report Friday, or the G7 meeting, which will be important for the dollar.
plenty reasons sell stocks
There's been plenty of reasons to sell stocks today.
continue current direction drift economic employment investors market report until
I think the market will continue to drift without any real direction until we get Friday's employment report and investors get a sense of the current economic outlook.
leadership provide stocks technology tend
Technology stocks typically tend to provide leadership in mid-cycle recovery, and I think that's where we are,
household lead pick theme winners
I think the theme is going to be that you have to pick the winners, and I think the winners are going to be the large-cap household names, like IBM, Dell, Microsoft, Cisco, and Intel. I think they'll lead us for a little while.
creeping definitely effects eight expected good higher inflation means passed previous reports seeing six
This is definitely good news, ... Six out of the previous eight PPI reports have been higher than expected but the corresponding CPI reports have not. That means that we're not seeing the creeping effects of inflation passed on to the consumer.
options
I think we need to get through the options expiration tomorrow,
added closer jobs last
We need to see more than the 1,000 jobs added last time. You want to see closer to 200,000 jobs added.
america argue consensus corporate couple credit cycle earnings fed focus forefront handful held hold last monetary nice policy returns revenue seeing strength terrific themes three
We're seeing a nice handful of earnings today. That is going to be the driver. The other driver, or the thing that's not going to hold us back this quarter, and I would argue has held us back the last three quarters, is the consensus is the Fed is done for the year, ... We don't have a credit tightening cycle to go through and we're seeing terrific earnings. So I would argue that the focus returns now to earnings growth, revenue growth, the strength of corporate America and not necessarily the macro-economic themes like monetary policy which have been on the forefront for the last couple of quarters.