Art Hogan
Art Hogan
coming data earnings economic great marquee whether
We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.
direction downward headed lower push stocks
It doesn't take much to push stocks lower in this market, ... Stocks have been headed in a downward direction for a while.
basis current data lower points signs terrific trend
I think the Fed's going to lower by 25 basis points and I think the trend is going to show stabilization and a pick-up in growth. The current data is not going to look terrific but there will be signs of stabilization.
broader compared concerned data economy half investors lows market process second sector services surprise terms test
In terms of the thought process on the economy, today's ISM data on the services sector didn't help. It didn't really come as a surprise -- but, having said that, the broader thought process that the economy isn't doing well in the second half compared with the first half has investors concerned that we may need to test the lows of the market again.
clearly effect equity exaggerate low strange summer tends vacation volumes
I think we're clearly in summer vacation mode, so we're going to have low volumes -- which has a strange effect on equity valuations and tends to exaggerate moves,
broader compared concerned economy economy-and-economics half investors lows market process second surprise test
It didn't really come as a surprise -- but, having said that, the broader thought process that the economy isn't doing well in the second half compared with the first half has investors concerned that we may need to test the lows of the market again.
companies dependent dragging drivers lower main oil price
One of the main drivers for the Dow and S&P has been the price of oil; that's been dragging on the companies that are especially dependent on lower oil prices,
convinced excited future optimistic oracle rebound second
Just because Oracle is up and is optimistic about the future is not getting us excited about everything, ... Nobody's convinced there will be a rebound in the second half.
reflex seeing
It's an oversold bounce, ... After you get oversold, you have a reflex rally, and that's what we're seeing now.
borrowing continues corporate costs fear fed increase less piece speaks stocks stop wages
The increase in wages was the piece that really speaks to the inflationary pressure. The fear is that the Fed doesn't stop in March, that it continues through May. If corporate America's borrowing costs go up, that makes stocks less attractive.
december economy fed knows looks short
The Fed disappointed us short term, ... The economy looks better than it did in December and the Fed knows more than we do.
fourth quarter signs
I think the fourth quarter is going to be great, ... We just don't have signs of it yet.
matter
Clearly, we will see stabilization. It's just a matter of when.
market price second stock trying
I think we'll see the stock market trying to price that (rate cuts) in the second quarter.