Art Hogan

Art Hogan
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We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.
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The global reaction to this is more of a psychological response than a rational one. People wake up and read whatever wire service they're going to read and realize that one of the major Asian markets was down by up to 6 percent overnight, and there are a number of tech earnings disappointments and it tends to cascade. Eventually you get a more rational response after people have time to come to terms with what is really happening.
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It's not a major deal, ... Whatever bets have been made most of the day (dried up) ? people are just walking away and waiting until tomorrow.
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I think that turned (the market) around, ... There is no inflationary pressure and that was one of the major concerns.
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It's a lagging number that will have two revisions. There were no major surprises. Economic data will still move this market, but this isn't one of them.
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There's a lot of improvement priced into the earnings, and provided we see confirmation of that, we should be able to keep gaining over the next few sessions, ... But if another major household name -- like GE last week -- were to disappoint, you could see some selling.
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A handful of bad news for a rainy Monday. The escalation of violence in the Mid East is obviously a major issue.
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The second quarter is lining up to be another good quarter but people are looking ahead to the third and fourth quarters. Barring any major upsets on the earnings calendar I'd say the market is pretty range bound.
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Just because Oracle is up and is optimistic about the future is not getting us excited about everything, ... Nobody's convinced there will be a rebound in the second half.
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It's an oversold bounce, ... After you get oversold, you have a reflex rally, and that's what we're seeing now.
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The increase in wages was the piece that really speaks to the inflationary pressure. The fear is that the Fed doesn't stop in March, that it continues through May. If corporate America's borrowing costs go up, that makes stocks less attractive.
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The Fed disappointed us short term, ... The economy looks better than it did in December and the Fed knows more than we do.
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It doesn't take much to push stocks lower in this market, ... Stocks have been headed in a downward direction for a while.
fourth quarter signs
I think the fourth quarter is going to be great, ... We just don't have signs of it yet.