Art Hogan
Art Hogan
good market means money rough seen staying stuff worked
We've seen some really good stuff and some really rough stuff, ... The market has worked its way through a bottom, at least on the Nasdaq and S&P. Money is rotating, so that means it's staying in the market and that's good news.
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We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.
absence beginning calling clearly corporate correction economic five news people percent trying unlike
This is not unlike the five percent to 10 percent correction a lot of people were calling for in the beginning of the year. You have an absence of corporate and economic news and clearly people are trying to rationalize valuations.
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The global reaction to this is more of a psychological response than a rational one. People wake up and read whatever wire service they're going to read and realize that one of the major Asian markets was down by up to 6 percent overnight, and there are a number of tech earnings disappointments and it tends to cascade. Eventually you get a more rational response after people have time to come to terms with what is really happening.
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Fifty-two percent of the households in America are invested in the U.S. stock market and they want to invest in the things that had 70 percent growth last year, ... As long as the money keeps flowing into equity mutual funds and they are targeted toward Nasdaq stocks, we are going to see this go on for a while.
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Just because Oracle is up and is optimistic about the future is not getting us excited about everything, ... Nobody's convinced there will be a rebound in the second half.
reflex seeing
It's an oversold bounce, ... After you get oversold, you have a reflex rally, and that's what we're seeing now.
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The increase in wages was the piece that really speaks to the inflationary pressure. The fear is that the Fed doesn't stop in March, that it continues through May. If corporate America's borrowing costs go up, that makes stocks less attractive.
december economy fed knows looks short
The Fed disappointed us short term, ... The economy looks better than it did in December and the Fed knows more than we do.
direction downward headed lower push stocks
It doesn't take much to push stocks lower in this market, ... Stocks have been headed in a downward direction for a while.
fourth quarter signs
I think the fourth quarter is going to be great, ... We just don't have signs of it yet.
matter
Clearly, we will see stabilization. It's just a matter of when.
market price second stock trying
I think we'll see the stock market trying to price that (rate cuts) in the second quarter.
cash catalyst deal great
The catalyst will be liquidity, ... There's a great deal of cash on the sidelines.