Art Hogan
Art Hogan
coming data earnings economic great marquee whether
We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.
fourth quarter signs
I think the fourth quarter is going to be great, ... We just don't have signs of it yet.
baked best outlook quarter question seen statements
Outlook statements for the first quarter are the best that we've seen in some time, but the question is, how much of that is already baked into the market?,
consensus helps overall quarter season second upbeat
The season started upbeat and that was terrific. That helps the overall consensus that the second quarter (reports) will be rosier.
discount fourth growth investors price quarter second starting
Investors are starting to discount the second quarter and price in growth in the fourth quarter,
adding best biggest ebay energy fourth higher household impact interest name piece problem quarter rising sentiment
The fourth quarter is when we'll see the impact of rising interest rates, higher energy prices, ... I would say eBay is the biggest piece of the problem this morning. It's a household name and it's adding to the sentiment we're not going to have the best of fourth quarters.
ahead calendar earnings fourth good lining looking major market people quarter range second third upsets
The second quarter is lining up to be another good quarter but people are looking ahead to the third and fourth quarters. Barring any major upsets on the earnings calendar I'd say the market is pretty range bound.
basis employment gains high kept levels mean next points quarter
If the high levels of employment aren't kept up with the high levels of productivity gains that we have been making, (the Fed) will probably need to do something pro-active and that would probably mean 25 basis points now and then something in the first quarter of next year.
convinced excited future optimistic oracle rebound second
Just because Oracle is up and is optimistic about the future is not getting us excited about everything, ... Nobody's convinced there will be a rebound in the second half.
reflex seeing
It's an oversold bounce, ... After you get oversold, you have a reflex rally, and that's what we're seeing now.
borrowing continues corporate costs fear fed increase less piece speaks stocks stop wages
The increase in wages was the piece that really speaks to the inflationary pressure. The fear is that the Fed doesn't stop in March, that it continues through May. If corporate America's borrowing costs go up, that makes stocks less attractive.
december economy fed knows looks short
The Fed disappointed us short term, ... The economy looks better than it did in December and the Fed knows more than we do.
direction downward headed lower push stocks
It doesn't take much to push stocks lower in this market, ... Stocks have been headed in a downward direction for a while.
matter
Clearly, we will see stabilization. It's just a matter of when.