Lara Rhame
Lara Rhame
continue favorable fed match raising rates scope support tends terms yield
I don't see the scope for the ECB to match the Fed in terms of raising rates and this will continue to support the dollar. The ECB tends to lag the Fed and even if they hike, the yield differentials are still favorable to the dollar.
hear interest market rates stock talk
Interest rates are low, the stock market is higher, and we hear all this talk about a tax-cut package,
concerned cut economy fed fine might pain rates remains shock
This is not a 'ripping off the Band-Aid' kind of situation, where you know how much the pain will be and that you'll be fine afterwards. We don't know how well the economy has healed. The Fed remains very concerned ... that they might overshoot and give the economy such a shock they'll have to cut rates again.
higher housing last market rates situation worried
If we're in a situation where rates are higher because the economy's great, the housing market is going to be last thing I'll be worried about.
job
I think they'll need to see a lot of job growth, not just one month.
causing excited markets near
In the near term, markets are getting very excited about the idea of the end of quantitative easing, and that's causing the yen to come under some upward pressure.
bin dollar economy falling fits led risk tape view
The bin Laden tape has led to some dollar selling. The tape fits with the view of those who think the U.S. economy is at risk of falling into a sinkhole.
connection durable economic economy goods heavy industry layoffs machinery overall segments
If you look at the segments of the economy where we do have deflation, particularly in the goods industry -- and particularly in durable goods, such as automobiles and heavy machinery -- that's where most of the layoffs have been concentrated, ... That's where you see the connection of disinflation to overall economic growth.
economy further recovery state stimulus underlying weak
The underlying state of the economy is on weak footing, and we're going to need further stimulus to keep the recovery on track.
dramatic euro far line move recent tendency
The euro can go pretty far -- when currencies correct, they have a tendency to do that. But I don't see the recent move as dramatic or unexpected, and I don't think it's out of line with fundamentals.
guts statement
It's the same meat, but with a different gravy, ... The real guts of the Fed's statement is very much unchanged.
grit wheels
There is substantial post-bubble grit in the wheels right now.
among consumers personally shut view
I personally am among those with the view that we actually are going to see consumers shut down.
consumer federal growth moderate reserve spending time warning
This is what the Federal Reserve has been warning about for a long time -- we will still see consumer spending growth, but it will be more moderate than before, ... It's a retrenchment of consumer spending growth from blistering levels.