Art Hogan
Art Hogan
coming data earnings economic great marquee whether
We need a significant catalyst. Whether it be great second-quarter earnings or blowout economic data or some marquee firms coming out with a mid-second-quarter preview.
commentary focus forward hearing invest markets mechanisms news pricing suggested trying
The equities markets are very forward pricing mechanisms so the (corporate) news you're hearing has been priced into the market, for the most part. The news that you should focus on is what will be suggested in the commentary that comes out because we're trying to invest for fourth-quarter growth.
behind depending direction fed focus next pick until
Depending on what day it is we focus on earnings, we focus on the Fed. We have to get the Fed behind us before we really pick a direction. I think that direction will be higher, but not until next Wednesday.
energy few focus interest last rates wall week
Last week energy and interest rates were the focus on Wall Street. It will probably be the same this week, as well as a few mid-quarter updates,
apple complexion couple early focus household ibm looks markets names research shape weeks
There's a lot of trepidation out there about earnings, ... A lot of times, the complexion of markets is what the household names are doing. A couple of weeks ago it was about IBM ( Research ) and Apple ( Research ). Today, it looks like the focus is on Amazon, and that can shape the market -- at least in the early going.
convinced excited future optimistic oracle rebound second
Just because Oracle is up and is optimistic about the future is not getting us excited about everything, ... Nobody's convinced there will be a rebound in the second half.
reflex seeing
It's an oversold bounce, ... After you get oversold, you have a reflex rally, and that's what we're seeing now.
borrowing continues corporate costs fear fed increase less piece speaks stocks stop wages
The increase in wages was the piece that really speaks to the inflationary pressure. The fear is that the Fed doesn't stop in March, that it continues through May. If corporate America's borrowing costs go up, that makes stocks less attractive.
december economy fed knows looks short
The Fed disappointed us short term, ... The economy looks better than it did in December and the Fed knows more than we do.
direction downward headed lower push stocks
It doesn't take much to push stocks lower in this market, ... Stocks have been headed in a downward direction for a while.
fourth quarter signs
I think the fourth quarter is going to be great, ... We just don't have signs of it yet.
matter
Clearly, we will see stabilization. It's just a matter of when.
market price second stock trying
I think we'll see the stock market trying to price that (rate cuts) in the second quarter.
cash catalyst deal great
The catalyst will be liquidity, ... There's a great deal of cash on the sidelines.