Art Hogan
Art Hogan
baked best outlook quarter question seen statements
Outlook statements for the first quarter are the best that we've seen in some time, but the question is, how much of that is already baked into the market?,
best earnings realize seen
We should shrug this off and realize that this is the best fourth-quarter earnings we've seen in years,
good market means money rough seen staying stuff worked
We've seen some really good stuff and some really rough stuff, ... The market has worked its way through a bottom, at least on the Nasdaq and S&P. Money is rotating, so that means it's staying in the market and that's good news.
ahead change couple last meetings seen stop time
It's the first time we've seen a change of verbiage in the last 10 meetings or so, ... We're now a couple of meetings ahead of when they'll stop tightening.
bad disasters market natural news seen stomach
The market has been able to stomach a lot of bad news -- we've seen disasters every day and the market has trended higher, ... This is day four, so it's only natural to want to take profits.
ahead fear fourth gotten hold negative ourselves
I think we got oversold, not on negative news, but on fear that we'd gotten ahead of ourselves and that things can't hold up in the fourth quarter,
calendar cycle difficult earnings economic generate interest natural news quiet reports slowing vacuum
I think we're going through this natural vacuum in the news cycle where we have a quiet economic calendar and the fourth-quarter earnings reports are slowing down. It's difficult to generate any interest in the market.
clearly effect equity exaggerate low strange summer tends vacation volumes
I think we're clearly in summer vacation mode, so we're going to have low volumes -- which has a strange effect on equity valuations and tends to exaggerate moves,
investors later start
I think we'll start getting investors into the marketplace later in the first quarter,
market price second stock trying
I think we'll see the stock market trying to price that (rate cuts) in the second quarter.
options
I think we need to get through the options expiration tomorrow,
hold market rally start
I think this market can hold on to this rally and start trending higher.
earning economic half news next path resistance second sustain until
I think this can sustain for the next day or two, at least until we get to all the earning and economic news in the second half of the week, ... Right now, the path of least resistance is still to the upside.
basically happens market next rest seeing sold waiting
I think the semiconductors and the Nasdaq had sold off a little more than the rest of the market recently, so you're seeing them gain, ... But basically we're all waiting for everything that happens next week.