Art Hogan
Art Hogan
household lead pick theme winners
I think the theme is going to be that you have to pick the winners, and I think the winners are going to be the large-cap household names, like IBM, Dell, Microsoft, Cisco, and Intel. I think they'll lead us for a little while.
america argue consensus corporate couple credit cycle earnings fed focus forefront handful held hold last monetary nice policy returns revenue seeing strength terrific themes three
We're seeing a nice handful of earnings today. That is going to be the driver. The other driver, or the thing that's not going to hold us back this quarter, and I would argue has held us back the last three quarters, is the consensus is the Fed is done for the year, ... We don't have a credit tightening cycle to go through and we're seeing terrific earnings. So I would argue that the focus returns now to earnings growth, revenue growth, the strength of corporate America and not necessarily the macro-economic themes like monetary policy which have been on the forefront for the last couple of quarters.
ahead fear fourth gotten hold negative ourselves
I think we got oversold, not on negative news, but on fear that we'd gotten ahead of ourselves and that things can't hold up in the fourth quarter,
calendar cycle difficult earnings economic generate interest natural news quiet reports slowing vacuum
I think we're going through this natural vacuum in the news cycle where we have a quiet economic calendar and the fourth-quarter earnings reports are slowing down. It's difficult to generate any interest in the market.
clearly effect equity exaggerate low strange summer tends vacation volumes
I think we're clearly in summer vacation mode, so we're going to have low volumes -- which has a strange effect on equity valuations and tends to exaggerate moves,
investors later start
I think we'll start getting investors into the marketplace later in the first quarter,
market price second stock trying
I think we'll see the stock market trying to price that (rate cuts) in the second quarter.
options
I think we need to get through the options expiration tomorrow,
hold market rally start
I think this market can hold on to this rally and start trending higher.
earning economic half news next path resistance second sustain until
I think this can sustain for the next day or two, at least until we get to all the earning and economic news in the second half of the week, ... Right now, the path of least resistance is still to the upside.
basically happens market next rest seeing sold waiting
I think the semiconductors and the Nasdaq had sold off a little more than the rest of the market recently, so you're seeing them gain, ... But basically we're all waiting for everything that happens next week.
brings buyers capture clear companies data economic good great hurdles key market news passing recently saddam short
I think there's a lot of things going on, ... We had some good news from companies like Oracle, great economic data this morning, and you had the market clear two key psychological hurdles recently -- the Dow passing 10,000 and the capture of Saddam Hussein. All of that brings buyers back in for the short term.
euphoria microsoft ongoing sort
I think there's going to be ongoing euphoria about the Microsoft decision. It's not just Microsoft ? it's sort of a pro-business decision.
last sluggish wednesday worried
Last week, we were worried about a sluggish economy, Wednesday it was back to inflation,