Art Hogan
Art Hogan
behind corporate crushed earnings economy emergency fact fed fight funds global level market rate roll sooner trend
We have to get used to the fact that the emergency level of the fed funds rate is behind us, ... The sooner we become cognizant of the fact that the global economy won't be crushed and corporate earnings won't roll over, the sooner the market will fight its way to trend higher.
continue fed month pass slowing trend until wait
If we continue to see the trend slowing and we get better (economic) numbers, I think the Fed can take a pass at the end of the month and wait until August.
bad continue point start string trend
We really have priced in a lot of bad news. Even if we continue to see a string of (negative) pre-reports, at some point in time, we're going to start to trend higher.
credit cycle equity markets ongoing piece slowing trend
It's another piece of the ongoing trend of a slowing economy, ... The credit tightening cycle is nearing an end and we have the equity markets celebrating that.
gains hard larger remains trend whether
The larger trend remains to the upside, but its hard to say whether we'll see gains in the short-term,
affects both economy economy-and-economics equity growth revenue slowing strong trend ways worrying
You can't have it both ways -- the economy can't be strong and have us worrying about revenue growth going forward, so it has to be the trend is slowing and how much that affects equity valuations going forward.
news positive record rest trend
This is more of a technically-driven rally. If the news is positive for the rest of the week, we should trend higher, but not enough to set any new record highs.
basis current data lower points signs terrific trend
I think the Fed's going to lower by 25 basis points and I think the trend is going to show stabilization and a pick-up in growth. The current data is not going to look terrific but there will be signs of stabilization.
ahead fear fourth gotten hold negative ourselves
I think we got oversold, not on negative news, but on fear that we'd gotten ahead of ourselves and that things can't hold up in the fourth quarter,
calendar cycle difficult earnings economic generate interest natural news quiet reports slowing vacuum
I think we're going through this natural vacuum in the news cycle where we have a quiet economic calendar and the fourth-quarter earnings reports are slowing down. It's difficult to generate any interest in the market.
clearly effect equity exaggerate low strange summer tends vacation volumes
I think we're clearly in summer vacation mode, so we're going to have low volumes -- which has a strange effect on equity valuations and tends to exaggerate moves,
investors later start
I think we'll start getting investors into the marketplace later in the first quarter,
market price second stock trying
I think we'll see the stock market trying to price that (rate cuts) in the second quarter.
options
I think we need to get through the options expiration tomorrow,