Mark Zandi
Mark Zandi
Mark Zandi is chief economist of Moody's Analytics, where he directs economic research. He is co-founder of Economy.com, which was acquired by Moody's Analytics in 2005. Prior to founding Economy.com, Zandi was a regional economist at Chase Econometrics...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionEconomist
CountryUnited States of America
attach fed finance high housing markets next problem reasonably test
I would attach a reasonably high probability that there will be a problem in the housing or finance markets that will test the next Fed chairman.
bad broader bubble calamity creating credit financial great hard housing loans market millions mortgage paved problem recession
Too-easy credit and millions of bad loans made during the U.S. housing bubble paved the way for the financial calamity and Great Recession that followed. Today, by contrast, credit is too tight. Mortgage loans are particularly hard to get, creating a problem for the housing market and the broader economy.
affect credit entire financial housing problems quickly result undermine
It would undermine the housing market, and could quickly result in credit problems that would affect the entire (American) financial system.
boom degree few growth jobs largely next past problem process respect slightly tech time
Part of the problem that all of tech is having with respect to jobs is they significantly over-hired during the boom times and to some degree the past few years has been payback for overaggressive hiring. But I think that process is largely over and we should see slightly better job growth in tech by this time next year.
ahead budget bunch contribute deficits largely problems tax
A bunch of problems that we have ahead of us are largely because of these tax cuts. They are very costly and will contribute significantly to budget deficits in the future.
bursting housing mortgage rates rise slow store
I think what we have in store is a slow deflating of the housing bubble, not a bursting of the bubble. But if mortgage rates rise more sharply than I am expecting, then the downturn in housing could be more severe.
decision higher level regarding since year
I think they will tighten, but there is a much higher level of uncertainty regarding this decision than at any one since they started over a year ago.
euphoria housing likely scenario slowly
I think the most likely scenario is that housing euphoria slowly deflates but doesn't burst.
curve message overly understand watch yield
I think the message in this inverted yield curve is muddled. I think it is something to watch and to understand better. But I am not overly concerned.
consumer effects gas homes money overall people pull spending
People are able to pull money out of their homes and put it into their gas tanks. So the overall effects on consumer spending have been small.
economy remains tough underlying
We don't get away scot-free, but the underlying economy remains tough and sturdy.
car drive heat home spend
You are going to spend more to drive your car and to heat your home.
decidedly depends effects few likely negative next time year
It depends on your time frame. For the next few months, it's decidedly a negative event. But in a year or so, the effects will likely have faded.
concern economy hit oil since
I thought oil would have been a concern since it hit $40 but the economy has digested it well,