Mark Zandi
Mark Zandi
Mark Zandi is chief economist of Moody's Analytics, where he directs economic research. He is co-founder of Economy.com, which was acquired by Moody's Analytics in 2005. Prior to founding Economy.com, Zandi was a regional economist at Chase Econometrics...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionEconomist
CountryUnited States of America
bursting housing mortgage rates rise slow store
I think what we have in store is a slow deflating of the housing bubble, not a bursting of the bubble. But if mortgage rates rise more sharply than I am expecting, then the downturn in housing could be more severe.
expect face good higher interest job rates somewhat workers
The tightening of the job market, while very good for workers and much deserved, argues that workers should also expect to face higher interest rates and somewhat higher inflation.
allow cuts move point rates revert
Now, I do think when we move into 2012 and '13 when, presumably, the economy is on firmer ground, I would allow the tax rates for upper-income individuals to revert back to where they were before the cuts in the 1990s. I think at that point it makes perfect sense.
bond market rates
Reintroducing a little uncertainty in the bond market would be desirable. Long-term rates are too low,
fading fast further housing market move prospect rates
The housing market is fading fast and the prospect is it will weaken further as rates move higher.
decision higher level regarding since year
I think they will tighten, but there is a much higher level of uncertainty regarding this decision than at any one since they started over a year ago.
euphoria housing likely scenario slowly
I think the most likely scenario is that housing euphoria slowly deflates but doesn't burst.
curve message overly understand watch yield
I think the message in this inverted yield curve is muddled. I think it is something to watch and to understand better. But I am not overly concerned.
consumer effects gas homes money overall people pull spending
People are able to pull money out of their homes and put it into their gas tanks. So the overall effects on consumer spending have been small.
economy remains tough underlying
We don't get away scot-free, but the underlying economy remains tough and sturdy.
car drive heat home spend
You are going to spend more to drive your car and to heat your home.
decidedly depends effects few likely negative next time year
It depends on your time frame. For the next few months, it's decidedly a negative event. But in a year or so, the effects will likely have faded.
concern economy hit oil since
I thought oil would have been a concern since it hit $40 but the economy has digested it well,
continue stick
I think they're going to stick to their script, that they're going to continue to tighten at each meeting.