Mark Zandi
Mark Zandi
Mark Zandi is chief economist of Moody's Analytics, where he directs economic research. He is co-founder of Economy.com, which was acquired by Moody's Analytics in 2005. Prior to founding Economy.com, Zandi was a regional economist at Chase Econometrics...
NationalityAmerican
ProfessionEconomist
CountryUnited States of America
actual capacity disruption energy excess global higher levels meant oil prices reflects related thin
If there's any disruption anywhere, actual or perceived, prices go higher -- which reflects the very thin excess capacity in the global oil market. Clearly, the record-high levels for energy prices meant a windfall for related industries.
change increase pay people prepare thinking
At best, people should prepare for no pay increase and no bonus, something they have been getting a lot of. At worst, they should be thinking they may need to change occupations.
thinking differences way
In a normal time, I don't think economic policy makes a large difference one way or another. But in times of crisis it makes all the difference in the world.
thinking would-be taxes
Yes. I don't think it would be appropriate at this point to raise taxes on anyone, certainly not in 2011.
bursting housing mortgage rates rise slow store
I think what we have in store is a slow deflating of the housing bubble, not a bursting of the bubble. But if mortgage rates rise more sharply than I am expecting, then the downturn in housing could be more severe.
decision higher level regarding since year
I think they will tighten, but there is a much higher level of uncertainty regarding this decision than at any one since they started over a year ago.
euphoria housing likely scenario slowly
I think the most likely scenario is that housing euphoria slowly deflates but doesn't burst.
curve message overly understand watch yield
I think the message in this inverted yield curve is muddled. I think it is something to watch and to understand better. But I am not overly concerned.
consumer effects gas homes money overall people pull spending
People are able to pull money out of their homes and put it into their gas tanks. So the overall effects on consumer spending have been small.
economy remains tough underlying
We don't get away scot-free, but the underlying economy remains tough and sturdy.
car drive heat home spend
You are going to spend more to drive your car and to heat your home.
decidedly depends effects few likely negative next time year
It depends on your time frame. For the next few months, it's decidedly a negative event. But in a year or so, the effects will likely have faded.
concern economy hit oil since
I thought oil would have been a concern since it hit $40 but the economy has digested it well,
continue stick
I think they're going to stick to their script, that they're going to continue to tighten at each meeting.